Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.640036 0.724621 0.814619 0.917335 1.031144 1.153201 1.293828
2025-09-28 0.499324 0.615054 0.747153 0.908375 1.099065 1.316622 1.582772
2025-10-05 0.421134 0.560450 0.729932 0.949500 1.224444 1.555215 1.980880
2025-10-12 0.359334 0.514145 0.713932 0.987230 1.347408 1.801484 2.412143
2025-10-19 0.300706 0.461309 0.680555 0.996153 1.432170 2.005768 2.808309
2025-10-26 0.253026 0.414856 0.647827 0.999478 1.506803 2.200462 3.206023
2025-11-02 0.214610 0.374983 0.617771 1.000852 1.576032 2.390617 3.609872
2025-11-09 0.183205 0.340315 0.589845 1.000328 1.639948 2.575551 4.017356
2025-11-16 0.158188 0.311605 0.566631 1.002898 1.706503 2.766724 4.444531
2025-11-23 0.135321 0.282539 0.538468 0.993245 1.751373 2.926508 4.833396
2025-11-30 0.120729 0.265849 0.528583 1.011635 1.840888 3.158642 5.344323
2025-12-07 0.104245 0.242645 0.503942 1.001386 1.881112 3.314447 5.744385
2025-12-14 0.092519 0.227181 0.491827 1.012527 1.959404 3.538420 6.269967
2025-12-21 0.079319 0.206233 0.466480 0.996536 1.988749 3.683499 6.676594
2025-12-28 0.073698 0.200927 0.471095 1.037070 2.121583 4.009920 7.400417
2026-01-04 0.068393 0.195388 0.474438 1.075199 2.252572 4.340630 8.149106
2026-01-11 0.061115 0.183735 0.463332 1.083169 2.327404 4.577401 8.749742
2026-01-18 0.054340 0.171992 0.450379 1.085716 2.391484 4.798079 9.333211
2026-01-25 0.048299 0.160933 0.437389 1.086548 2.451695 5.014446 9.919264
2026-02-01 0.042899 0.150481 0.424314 1.085582 2.507700 5.225493 10.505489
2026-02-08 0.038350 0.141479 0.413419 1.088087 2.570462 5.451934 11.129836
2026-02-15 0.033696 0.131098 0.397606 1.077568 2.604904 5.625838 11.665163
2026-02-22 0.030972 0.126154 0.394946 1.097208 2.704229 5.929412 12.455260